Climate 411

California’s latest cap-and-invest auction highlights opportunity for stronger climate action

Photo of the coastline in Malibu, California

Results released today for the California-Quebec cap-and-invest auction demonstrate that, while California’s reauthorization of the program through 2045 has helped keep prices off the floor, there’s clear appetite for greater ambition as California Air Resources Board (CARB) resumes its rulemaking process on program updates. The auction delivered largely stable results, with current vintages settling at a slightly lower price compared to the August auction while future vintages settled slightly higher. All current and future vintage allowances sold.

While these results demonstrate continued but modest improvement in market confidence (for context, uncertainty in the market cost California some $3 billion over the past year), they also show that there’s room for greater program ambition. The market can afford for CARB to do more to maximize the benefits of this landmark program for the state’s economy, cost of living and climate through the rulemaking process.

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California can cut emissions faster while lowering costs for working families

A graphic showing a downward trend line, overlaid over the Yosemite Valley.

California is leading the nation on climate action, with Governor Newsom representing the U.S. at the international climate conference and the state legislature strengthening and extending California’s landmark climate policy, Cap-and-Invest. The state government is taking ambitious action on the climate crisis from all angles and now the spotlight is on the California Air Resources Board (CARB).

As CARB works to update the design of its cap-and-invest program, new modeling shows the state can take ambitious action to cut pollution while still cutting costs for the vast majority of families. More specifically, adopting a more ambitious pollution cap now than what is currently on the table translates into easier, larger pollution cuts over the next 20 years.

By making these changes to the program now, California is investing early in the success of its climate goals. Think of it like a 401k account: the benefits of early action compound over time, paying bigger climate and economic dividends later. If the state waits to act, it’s missing out on years of progress building a safer, more affordable future for Californians.

Where the program stands

Cap-and-Invest is California’s most cost-effective tool to reduce climate-altering pollution and is an important affordability solution for Californians. The program’s binding, declining limit on pollution ensures that emissions are cut over time while prioritizing the most readily available, lowest cost opportunities to reduce pollution. At the same time, the program requires polluters to pay for their emissions — generating a crucial source of revenue that has already reduced household costs through $16 billion in utility bill credits for residential customers and over $30 billion raised for community investments.

CARB is working on updates to the program in order to make sure it is calibrated to meet the state’s climate targets, limiting pollution and driving clean energy investment.

Part of that adjustment means removing emissions allowances from the annual ‘emissions budgets’, translating to less pollution going into the atmosphere. At a workshop last month, CARB presented scenarios for reductions, noting that removing 118 million allowances from the program between now and 2030 would be the bare minimum needed to achieve our targets.

New modeling shows CARB can pursue a more ambitious path — cutting more emissions while improving affordability for working families. Read More »

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Washington state’s cap-and-invest program continues to deliver for communities

Cap-and-invest continues to be Washington’s best tool for cutting pollution and delivering investments to communities. As linking with the California-Quebec program comes closer to being a reality, the continued success of Washington’s program demonstrates how a larger, linked market will benefit all involved.

The program just completed its third auction of the year. Here are the results and what they mean:

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A baffling proposal for California’s cap-and-trade program: How lowering the price ceiling creates a loophole for more pollution and reduces affordability

As all California climate policy nerds know, things are heating up in Sacramento around the details for extending the state’s landmark cap-and-trade program. There are many ways in which the program can be strengthened to better align with the state’s emission reduction targets and address affordability challenges for working families, both of which are needed now more than ever. 

However, a baffling new proposal would undermine the credibility of the program and abandon its track record of results by dramatically lowering the price ceiling for emissions allowances. If enacted, it would allow for unlimited emissions, make it a tossup if California meets its climate goals, and decimate the program’s ability to raise revenue for climate action. Let’s unpack why. 

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California lawmakers must act now to extend the state’s cap-and-trade program, as uncertainty reduces funding for investment in communities

Results were released today for the third auction of the year in the California-Quebec cap-and-trade market. This auction delivered slightly stronger results over the May auction, with all current allowances sold and settlement prices rising above the price floor. This bump in market demand potentially suggests renewed market confidence, though this confidence could be temporary if the Legislature doesn’t act urgently to reauthorize the program.

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As New York continues to await cap-and-invest program, studies show just how impactful these programs can be

New York just experienced a brutal heatwave, with several cities experiencing the hottest days ever recorded, underscoring the urgent need to address the climate crisis. 

As temperatures heat up, so do energy prices as New Yorkers continue to struggle with higher cost of living and economic uncertainty. To make matters worse, across the country polluters and their political allies are working to stall progress and roll back the clock on climate action. In the face of those attacks, states must be the firewall. 

New York has the chance to lead by example — tackling climate change while reducing costs for many New Yorkers and spurring economic growth — through the adoption of a bold, economy-wide cap-and-invest program. 

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