On the Water Front

California Needs More Reliable Water Deliveries, Not More Delta Water

The Sacramento Bee editorialized over the weekend about the Bay Delta Conservation Plan (BDCP), articulating a position similar to many in keeping an open mind about a canal or tunnel that could eliminate the need to operate the major federal and state pumps in the south Delta that are harmful to California’s fisheries and the San Francisco estuary.

The Bee put its finger on a key issue in noting that, south of Delta exporters “seem to have an expectation that BDCP can provide them with even more Delta water – more than the record high pumping of the previous decade – and that federal and state agencies will sign off on such a plan as ‘fish friendly'."

The Bee quite reasonably points out that “living in the real world” means exporters “can't keep drawing ever more water out of an estuary in collapse and claiming that flows don't matter much for the life cycle of fish. The National Research Council, among other scientific bodies, has made clear that minimum flows are essential for fish recovery, especially during dry years.”

And The Sacramento Bee editorial concludes by recommending that:  “What these contractors should be seeking is what state law calls for – better reliability of water deliveries, not more total supply.”  EDF could not agree more.

Which raises the interesting question:  What is “better reliability” of water deliveries?  And how unreliable are things today?  We hear a lot about diminished reliability, but the numbers tell an interesting story:

The chart below shows State Water Project (SWP) exports south of the Delta starting in the early 1960s through last year.  The green dotted line represents hydrology, or roughly, how much it rained that year:

Two things stand out:

  1.  SWP deliveries have not been merely reliable, they have trended sharply up over time, especially during the 2000s.
  2. Trends aside, since the late 1980s, deliveries closely track hydrology – SWP contractors get more when it rains more.

By most measures, this record of deliveries, and increasing deliveries, has been quite reliable other than during very dry years.

Central Valley Project (CVP) Delta exports tell a similar story of relatively stable and high levels of deliveries, if not the very highest, for the last several decades:

None of which is to say that south of Delta exporters do not suffer serious consequences when there are cutbacks during drier years – of course they do.  The question for the State, as the Bee so crisply puts it, is whether more reliable is the same as more.

Within the BDCP process, renewed efforts are underway to take a hard look at alternatives to Delta exports to shore up water supplies for those contractors who are among the first to be cutback during drought. The opportunities for better groundwater management, conservation, recycling, even graywater are substantial. And of course, in a state that consumes 40 million acre-feet of water on average each year, the potential for water transfers remains considerable.

 

 

Posted in Bay Delta, Conservation, Fisheries, Groundwater, Legislation, Rivers, Water Supply | Leave a comment

Ecosystems and World Water Day

Linda Esteli Mendez, Tom Graff Fellow

By Linda Esteli Mendez, EDF Tom Graff Fellow

Recognizing the importance of freshwater to the health and vitality of the world's people, the United Nations General Assembly designated March 22nd, 1992 as the first "World Water Day." Each year a new theme related to freshwater is celebrated on March 22nd. This year's theme is water and food security.

How is freshwater related to food security?  

The US Department of Agriculture defines food security as, "access by all members at all times to enough food for an active, healthy life." At the same time, many argue that how that food is made and delivered is an important part of food security. Are we supplying food in a way that is healthy and sustainable for primary environmental resources? Are we using sustainable amounts of freshwater and are we ensuring that our food production is minimizing pollution on freshwater resources? 

Last century, population growth increased twofold and agriculture doubled food production. However, while feeding the world, agriculture has become the biggest water user and irrigation claims 70% of all freshwater for human use. Is it any wonder then that water supplies for food has been and still remains a core issue to food security? 

Climate change poses risks to water supplies and food security

One need look no further than Texas or Mexico to see the impacts of climate change on water and food security.  According to Bloomberg Business Week, the "driest year in Texas history has caused record-setting agricultural losses, costing the state's farmers and ranchers about $7.62 billion in 2011, the Texas AgriLife Extension Service said Wednesday."

And in a special series on PBS Newshour, climate scientist Katharine Hayhoe of Texas Tech University told PBS that, “What climate change is doing is it’s increasing our temperatures, and higher temperatures mean faster evaporation,” she says, “So you need more water to provide the same amount of irrigation for crops if temperatures are higher. And that’s what we see happening here in Texas and in many places around the world.” 

In Mexico, "the water shortage wiped out millions of acres of farmland this winter, caused 15 billion pesos ($1.18 billion) in lost harvests, killed 60,000 head of cattle and weakened 2 million more livestock, pushing food prices higher in Mexico," according to a report in  Reuters. 

What are the solutions for protecting freshwater and food supplies into the future? 

At EDF, we believe that sustaining and improving the resilience of our ecosystems is a key answer to that question. Ecosystems — whether they are forests or rice fields, wetlands or grazing lands — provide a variety of environmental services but are at the same time vulnerable to climate change impacts. Maintaining healthy ecosystems to ensure water supply, water quality and other environmental services is thus essential. With an ecosystem services approach, environmental services (such as water supply, food production and outdoor recreation) are recognized and valued, trade-offs are managed and short-term gains do not undermine the long-term benefits that environmental services provide and that are critical for resilience. In general, improving resilience through an ecosystem services approach should reduce our vulnerability to climate change. 

The Center for Conservation Incentives at EDF is working hard to conserve water resources in the United States. We believe that farmers are at the heart of any process of change. As natural stewards of our land and water resources, farmers can be in the driver seat in practices that conserve water supply and water quality. Farmers have the opportunity to be compensated for their stewardship while being part of the solution for providing clean water and stabilizing the resilience of our ecosystems. 

Mokelumne River Watershed

The Mokelumne Watershed Environmental Benefits Program is a model of how farmers can voluntarily work together with other land stewards to improve the quality of freshwater supplies while lowering the costs of water supply to downstream users. By creating a framework where environmental services are tracked and traded, the program substantially increases both the amount and effectiveness of environmental stewardship. Under this vision, landowners and other stewards will be compensated for undertaking sustainable management practices and restoration activities. By providing incentives, we will foster a healthier ecosystem in the Mokelumne watershed, sustaining and improving its environmental services, while reducing costs.

On World Water Day we offer the Mokelumne Watershed Environmental Benefits Program as an example of the imperative of providing incentives to farmers and foresters for protecting our freshwater resources far into the future, but we also remember that we still have a long way to go to secure healthy ecosystems for the sustainment of all life.

Linda Esteli Mendez has roots in Nicaragua. Shaped by her country's historical social struggle, since an early stage she decided to commit her life to social and environmental justice issues.  She is an alumni from the Pan-American School of Agriculture, Zamorano University in Honduras (2007), and holds two master degrees, one in International Land and Water Management from Wageningen University, the Netherlands, and the other in Agricultural Public Policies from the Institute of Tropical Regions of Montpellier SupAgro, France. She has worked on a diverse array of rural development projects including, irrigation in Nicaragua, microfinance for women in Senegal, amongst others. Before joining EDF, she completed an honors research project on land and water reform processes in South Africa followed by an internship with International Rivers. She is happy to be working with EDF on the Mokelumne Watershed Environmental Benefits Program that creates solutions for freshwater supply and quality in California.

 

 

Posted in Climate Change, Rivers, Water Supply | Leave a comment

Waiting for a (March) Miracle

I had thought “Waiting for a Miracle” was originally done by the Grateful Dead. It turns out the song was written by Leonard Cohen.

But it might just as well be the theme song for California water wonks.

It's been an abysmally dry year, through February – the seventh driest of the last 107 years as measured by the Eight River index. But with storms coming in from the Pacific Ocean this week there's hope of another miracle March. We had such months twice during the six-year drought from 1987 to 1992.

In 1989, as figure 1 shows, the combined flow of the rivers which comprise the index for December through February was only 2.5 million acre-feet. After a series of storms, the March index alone was more than 6 million acre-feet.

Two years later, with only 1.2 million acre-feet of runoff through February, 1991 was on track to be the driest year on record. March brought 2.6 million acre-feet of flow – more of a minor miracle but still more than twice the previous three months, but very welcome nonetheless.

Will we get lucky again? We will have to wait and see. Here is a catchy little tune to listen to as you watch the raindrops fall.

Posted in Conservation, Groundwater, Water Supply | 1 Response

Ninth Circuit Rules In Favor of California Salmon Runs

The Ninth Circuit vindicated environmental and fishing group plaintiffs in their 14-year litigation to implement the Central Valley Project Improvement Act’s (“CVPIA”) requirement to reallocate 800,000 acre-feet of federal project water back to the ecosystem.

The 1992 CVPIA, also known as the Miller-Bradley bill for its co-sponsors, requires that the federal government double Central Valley salmon population levels from their average of several decades ago.  California has adopted a similar salmon doubling objective.  Key to meeting this goal was the directive that the Department of the Interior must dedicate 800,000 acre-feet of Central Valley Project water for salmon and other restoration measures in the CVPIA.

Federal water contractors have strongly resisted the reallocation of the 800,000 acre-feet for salmon, and have fought hard in the federal courts to eliminate this requirement.  For many years they have insisted that any water released for any regulatory purpose had to be deducted from the salmon water set dedication, whether or not it would contribute to the salmon doubling mandate.  The effect of this interpretation was, as the Court ruled, to relegate the salmon population mandate to a secondary role, or even no role at all.                      

Today, the Ninth Circuit firmly and finally rejected the position of the Westlands Water District and other CVP water contractors that the 800,000 acre-foot dedication is unrelated to the salmon doubling requirement and can be used primarily for non-CVPIA purposes.  The bottom line is that going forward, the federal government is obligated to fully implement this Congressional direction and to provide the water necessary to achieve the salmon doubling requirement.  Its failure to do so to date is certainly one of the reasons that Central Valley salmon continue to fare so poorly, and why the agency has fallen so far short of the Congressional direction to double populations.

It is long past time for the Department of Interior to set aside the policy guidance developed during the Bush administration that limits the amount of the CVPIA dedicated water to support salmon doubling objectives.  The Court of Appeals has now cleared the way for a new more appropriate, and more legally defensible, implementation policy.

Posted in Bay Delta, Fisheries, Legal Issues, Legislation, Public Trust, Rivers, Water Supply | Leave a comment

Blue sky blues after a very dry December

Spreck Rosekrans is an Economic Analyst at EDF

After a dry December, Californians are starting to worry about this year’s water supply. While we are fortunate that last year’s steady and extended precipitation has left our reservoirs and aquifers in relatively good shape, there are questions about what weather lies ahead. Beautiful blue skies can bring the blues. In winter, skiers lament that mountain tops are barren of snow. But the threat of impending drought looms large for all Californians as well as for our fish and wildlife.

Certainly, a dry December does not mean a dry year. But, based on data collected over the last century, it is highly likely that 2012 will be drier than average.
While there are many ways of analyzing hydrology statistically – using precipitation, snowpack, river flow or other data, I've chosen to use the Eight River Index to assess 106 years worth of data on the water flows on the Sacramento, Feather, Yuba, American, Stanislaus, Tuolumne, Merced and San Joaquin Rivers (more information can be found at the California Data Exchange Center) . The Eight River Index provides a good and relatively simple snapshot of how often "very dry Decembers" have in fact led to dry years. Here's what I found:

If only the mountains looked like this right now (Heavenly Ski Resort)

The Eight River Index for December 2011 was only 510,000 acre-feet (.51 million acre-feet). The historical period indicates that the December Eight River Index has been near this value, between 370,000 and 650,000 acre-feet, in approximately one out of five years.

As shown in Chart 1 below, very few of these "very dry Decembers" later turn into "wetter than average" years. Of the 22 years between 1906 and 2011 in which the December Eight River Index was less than 650,000 acre-feet, only three years (1906, 1936 and 2000) ended up being wetter than average. So it appears more than 85% likely that 2012 will be drier than average.

 

 

 

Snowpack is minimal so far this year (takemytrip.com)

There are of course many ways to slice and dice the data, but the forecast for California’s cities, farms and fisheries is definitely a bit gloomy. And the extended weather forecasts on the Internet do not look much better. There are a few hints of possible rain in a week or so, but mostly we should expect a lot of sun. Let’s be thankful 2011 was a wet year and enjoy the balmy weather while it’s here, but hope that the storms return over the coming weeks and months and provide lots of water for people, crops and wildlife.

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Since we’re neighbors let's be friends (EBMUD and CCWD)

Spreck Rosekrans is an Economic Analyst at EDF

Since we’re neighbors let's be friends.

This old Safeway jingle comes to mind in the wake of the East Bay Municipal Utility District’s decision to withdraw its plans to expand Pardee Reservoir, in the Sierra Nevada mountains of Northern California, and to work instead with neighboring Contra Costa Water District.

Expanding Pardee would have buried a beautiful stretch of the Mokelumne River that is a popular recreation area for boaters (myself included) and others in the nearby foothill communities. Instead Read More »

Posted in Rivers, Water Supply | Leave a comment

Groundwater: Too Big To Fail

Spreck Rosekrans is an Economic Analyst at EDF

As The New York Times pointed out yesterday, not everyone is happy with the development and operation of California’s groundwater banks. Lawsuits in Kern County, the site of the largest water storage investments in California over the last 20 years by a wide margin, illustrate some of the complex issues associated with sharing aquifers.

Most of this dispute is over accounting. Read More »

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Delta exports projected to reach record level in 2011

Spreck Rosekrans is an Economic Analyst at EDF

Exports from the Bay-Delta may reach an all-time high in 2011. Through July 15, pumping for the State Water Project and the Central Valley Project has totaled 4.86 million acre-feet. With ample supplies in northern reservoirs and Sierra rivers still full of melting snow, it is likely that the pumps will continue to run at or near capacity through the end of the water year (September 30).

As shown in Figure 1, the annual export total is projected to reach 6,610,000 acre-feet – 140,000 acre-feet more than the previous record of 6,470,000 acre-feet set in 2005. Read More »

Posted in Bay Delta, Water Supply | 9 Responses

Metropolitan’s neutrality on water bill puts long-term supply at risk

Spreck Rosekrans is an Economic Analyst at EDF

You would expect the Metropolitan Water District of Southern California to oppose any legislation that could destroy the Bay-Delta Conservation Plan (BDCP) and thereby leave the State Water Project vulnerable to catastrophic collapse of the delta’s notoriously fragile levees.

Unfortunately, Metropolitan is oddly “neutral” on a high stakes water bill, Read More »

Posted in Bay Delta, Legislation | Leave a comment

B2 déjà vu – lawsuit claims government actions to protect salmon are unlawful

Spreck Rosekrans is an Economic Analyst at EDF

The 1992 Central Valley Project Improvement Act includes numerous provisions to protect and restore fisheries, especially the salmon industry that has been decimated by the construction of dams and the diversion of freshwater for irrigated agriculture. Section 3406(b)(2) of the CVPIA, which authorizes the Department of the Interior to allocate up to 800,000 acre-feet of “project yield” annually to increase the Central Valley’s wild anadromous fish populations and for other restoration mandates, has provided valuable protection – especially in the operational flexibility to prevent large numbers of fish from being entrained in the massive pumps that export water from the Delta. The issue of how to implement the 800,000 acre-feet of project yield has been the subject of ongoing litigation since 1997. Read More »

Posted in Bay Delta, Fisheries, Legal Issues | 2 Responses