Market Forces

Empowering Chile’s Climate Action: A Citizen’s Guide to Article 6

This blog was authored by Francisco Pinto and Rodrigo Bórquez, economists of the Climate Action Teams (CAT) initiative, and by Environmental Defense Fund economist Luis Fernández Intriago.

Source: Climate Action Teams

Reducing emissions is imperative to address climate change. The mechanisms established in Article 6 of the Paris Agreement can serve as vital tools in our quest to stop the impacts of climate change and safeguard the future of our planet—but navigating its complexities can be tricky.

To tackle this challenge, between June and August 2023, the Climate Action Teams (CAT-Chile) initiative, co-founded by EDF, and the Consensus Building Institute (CBI) conducted a dialogue process in Chile. We aimed to convene key players in a discussion to better understand Article 6’s potential to boost Chile’s climate ambition.

This fruitful dialogue, called “Climate Dialogue: Strengthening Chile’s Ambition through Article 6 of the Paris Agreement“, explored three specific areas:

  1. The feasibility of implementing Article 6 in Chile,
  2. The application of safeguards, and
  3. The short-term actions and tasks to progress in this field.

The dialogue’s outcomes were delivered to Chile’s Ministry of the Environment to consider as they prepared to host their own public-private sector dialogue on ideas around the development of a Chilean Article 6 policy.

 Our process of dialogue:

Our dialogue process ran in two simultaneous series—one with a high-level, multi-actor group of members from the public sector, private sector, academia, and NGOs; and a second group with members of Indigenous Peoples. We discussed a common vision on how the instruments outlined in Article 6 of the Paris Agreement (with an emphasis on Article 6.2) could contribute to increasing Chile’s climate ambition, as well as the specific contribution of Climate Action Teams.

Between June and August 2023, five meetings were held with the national multi-actor group (three in-person and two virtual), averaging 20 people per session, and three meetings with members of Indigenous communities (all virtual), averaging seven people.

The meetings addressed the following questions:

  • Is the use of Article 6 feasible in Chile, specifically the cooperation mechanism outlined in Article 6.2? What are the challenges that need to be addressed in this context?
  • Should Chile decide to implement cooperative agreements under Article 6, what safeguards or conditionalities are necessary to ensure appropriate implementation?
  • How can Climate Action Teams Chile contribute to the design and implementation of these mechanisms?

During the sessions, we featured presentations from various stakeholders, including representatives from the Ministry of the Environment of Chile, the Swiss Foundation Klik, the Municipality of Renca, and the CAT-Chile team.

Building Trust and Relationship Through Dialogue

Following presentations, the facilitating team used multiple tools to build trust among participants and foster a spirit of collaboration. At the beginning of each in-person meeting, time was allocated for informal conversation to get to know each other better. In contrast, in virtual meetings, chat and “breakout rooms” were used to replicate this dynamic of initial informal conversation.

Another tool used was real-time surveys. For in-person meetings, the team used keyboards that allowed participants to answer questions by pressing a button and immediately viewing the results. In virtual meetings, Zoom’s survey feature was used.

Source: CBI

Surveys allowed the team to ask questions about participants’ perceptions and moods, providing anonymity and encouraging honesty. Additionally, the facilitation team would recap the progress and summarize the previous session at the beginning of each meeting. The entire process was dynamic and fruitful, enabling the actors to better understand the scope of Article 6 and its potential to accelerate mitigation in Chile. Each participant was also asked to identify points that needed attention in its implementation, from their particular sectoral perspective.

Results of the process: A citizen’s guide for Article 6

Source: CLG-Chile

The CAT initiative delivered the result of its dialogue process at a public seminar , organized jointly with the Corporate Leaders Group for Climate Change (CLG-Chile) at the Faculty of Economics and Business of the University of Chile last October. The shared statement was presented to the head of the Climate Change Division of the Ministry of the Environment, Jenny Mager.

The results of the dialogue concluded that:

The application of Article 6 in Chile is feasible, but challenging. To achieve it, Chile must build capacity.

  1. Feasibility with Challenges. It is feasible to use Article 6 in Chile, although it is recognized the difficulty of meeting, and even more, exceeding the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions target for the year 2030 established in Chile’s current Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC), making possible the materialization of bilateral or multilateral agreements under the Article 6.2 cooperation mechanism. To achieve this, it is essential to have early definitions and a significant availability of human and financial resources, as well as an institutional infrastructure that facilitates the implementation of both public and private initiatives that promote GHG mitigation beyond national commitments.
  2. Capacity Building. The State must strengthen its technical and operational capacities, while broadening its scope at the territorial level, to effectively implement policies and cooperation initiatives under Article 6. It is essential that the agreements generated (whether bilateral or multilateral, under Article 6.2, or under any other Article 6 mechanism) contain instruments to finance and promote the strengthening of the capacities of local governments and actors, promoting the development of enabling infrastructure, technology transfer and facilitating technical exchange.

Social and environmental safeguards must be robust in any application of Article 6 in Chile.

  1. Integral Protection. The use of Article 6 should be based on the normative frameworks and international agreements signed by Chile that safeguard essential social and environmental balances. Special attention should be paid to their full compliance in the territories. These mechanisms should consider: (i) unwavering respect for Human and Indigenous Peoples’ Rights, in line with international standards (e.g., the UN Declaration for the Rights of Indigenous Peoples); (ii) the right to free, prior and informed consent; (iii) safeguards to protect natural, cultural, tangible and intangible heritage and prevent further damage; (iv) consultation with the territories and local communities and institutions representing indigenous peoples before approving GHG reduction and/or removal initiatives/projects, promoting the inclusion of their knowledge and experience, the incorporation of ancestral knowledge and indigenous science, as well as mechanisms that allow for the equitable distribution of benefits in he intervened territory, and; (v) that the State of Chile fulfills its role as guarantor of these rights.
  2. Participation and Oversight. The procedures for the application of Article 6 must include robust citizen participation processes, based on international best practices. Participation and transparency are fundamental safeguards to validate these mechanisms. Effective oversight of all safeguards is also essential. It is recommended that agreements under Article 6, especially Article 6.2, include funding mechanisms for monitoring and oversight, following international best practices, such as ongoing third-party audits of their implementation/operation to ensure the rigor of the process.

Chile must move forward to align on Article 6 with clarity, experimentation, and transparency,

  1. Strategic Definition. It is of utmost importance that the State defines and/or establishes general guidelines, regulatory frameworks, procedures, sectoral and/or territorial definitions, or a positive/negative list of initiatives/projects to clarify where and how to direct the incentives and actions of the various stakeholders. In addition, progress should be made in defining mechanisms and procedures for managing the corresponding adjustments and between project and/or initiative proponents and the respective government authority. These elements will provide clear signals to the different sectors, including both national and international collaborators.
  2. Learning and Experimentation. Recognizing that the international community is in a learning process on how to enable and use the different cooperation mechanisms of Article 6, particularly Article 6.2, the group urges progress using existing tools, technological solutions and standards, along with experimental piloting processes, first, in territories where there are better conditions for implementation and always ensuring the application of best practices and their respective safeguards.
  3. Transparency and Collaboration. It is essential to clarify and communicate in advance the functioning of the mechanisms of Article 6 and its safeguards in order to achieve an optimal and adequate distribution of benefits in the territories. We must also highlight the mechanisms related to fostering the involvement, collaboration and empowerment of local communities and indigenous peoples, through their own organizations and representative institutions related to these issues.

Climate Action Teams (CAT) can play an important role in promotion, technical support, and multisector collaboration.

  1. Active Promotion. Climate Action Teams can play an active role in promoting the use of Article 6.2 in Chile, through proposals for aggregated and simplified Measurement/Monitoring, Reporting and Verification (MRV) methodologies, as well as its ability to bring together diverse stakeholders in a multi-sectoral and multi-level cooperative pilot approach.
  2. Technical Support. Climate Action Teams could play an important technical role in fostering the incorporation of high social and environmental standards in GHG mitigation initiatives and cooperative agreements, as well as supporting and promoting capacity building, technology transfer and experience sharing among relevant actors at the local and global levels, including the public, private, academic, indigenous peoples and civil society sectors in general.
  3. Multisectoral Collaboration. The stakeholder group convened by the Climate Action Teams initiative recognizes that the implementation of Article 6 is a complex challenge that depends on collaboration among diverse sectors. It therefore calls on the public sector to communicate its progress in this area in a broad, timely and transparent manner, while expressing its willingness to support the implementation of Article 6 in a variety of capacities and roles.

 

Current Chilean Situation of Art. 6 and CAT-Chile Next Steps

At the Ministry of Environment’s Public-Private Roundtable on Article 6 that followed our dialogue, they worked on the elaboration of the Article 6 policy, considering the contributions that resulted from the CAT dialogue process. Although there is no date for the policy’s launch, we expect to learn more this year. We hope to see greater certainty on how to implement the different instruments and mechanisms that operate under Article 6—especially for Article 6.2, under which a CAT Agreement would operate.

In addition, CAT Chile will continue to develop the understanding of the mechanism and its advantages both in Chile and in other potential host or partner countries. In the coming months CAT Chile is coordinating a series of bilateral dialogues with peers in New Zealand, focusing on three specific audiences: (i) modelers, to exchange experiences in the use of projection models to evaluate potential additional GHG reduction scenarios; (ii) stakeholders, including representatives of the public and private sectors, NGOs and academia, to address potential actions and policies to accelerate decarbonization and its feasibility, the viability and potential of CAT to contribute to it and the challenges it would face; and (iii) Indigenous Peoples, to discuss their perspective on Article 6, as well as the main social and environmental safeguards to be considered in a potential agreement.

 

 

Also posted in Economics, International, Uncategorized / Leave a comment

Generating public acceptance critical to modernizing the electrical grid

Who, when and how to engage to build support for new infrastructure.

This post is the second in a series dedicated to the future of the electricity sector and new scholarship supported by the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation. Each post is based on a discussion between select researchers and experts working on relevant policy. To learn more and join one of our upcoming conversations, visit the series website.

To make our electric grid cleaner, more reliable and more equitable, we need to invest in new infrastructure—and fast. In the effort to meet our country’s clean energy goals, policymakers will plan for new transmission lines, wind and solar farms and storage solutions, all of which will have an impact on the people living nearby. Communicating about these investments with the affected stakeholders must be done in a thoughtful and careful manner, or—as we’ve seen with other types of infrastructure projects—they can face delays or even fail altogether.

In our latest Alfred P. Sloan Foundation-funded webinar—which you can find here—we explored the barriers to public support of the infrastructure required to achieve a net zero electric grid as well as ways to engage with communities and other stakeholders more successfully.

The webinar, moderated by Dr. Elizabeth J. Wilson of Dartmouth College, featured panelists including Dr. Tanya Heikkila, Kate Konschnik, Dr. David Konisky and Amanda Ormond. Each of the academic panelists presented aspects of their research, while Ms. Ormond provided insights from her experience with infrastructure conflicts in the West.

Understanding constituencies—and conflicts

Dr. Heikkila’s research on conflicts around energy infrastructure found a variation in conflict intensity based on location, population and project type. Her analysis found that nonprofits and the general public tended to vocally oppose new infrastructure (regardless of the type), while energy companies were more supportive of infrastructure investments. Furthermore, “in high conflict cases,” Dr. Heikkila said, “people from different positions often talk past each other. So they’re not framing the issue in the same way.”

Ms. Konschnik’s research focuses on Regional Transmission Organizations (RTOs), which she describes as “the most important players in the energy transition that you’ve never heard of.” These non-profit organizations control transmission in a region, but also create the rules that affect market values, and in turn, investment decisions in key energy infrastructure.

However, RTOs (and very similar organizations known as Independent System Operators) function largely below the radar of the general public, as their consensus and decision-making processes are held behind closed doors, with energy market participants being the primary stakeholders engaging in these discussions. Though the public has largely been absent from these conversations, stakeholder agreement is not a foregone conclusion. In fact, as the energy market has become more diverse, with greater participation of renewable and distributed resources, conflicts around the rules between these market players have only increased.

No matter the stakeholders involved, Amanda Ormond says one of the biggest challenges facing policymakers today is extreme polarization. While opposition may have always existed, the outsized influence of politics, social media, hidden hands and even paid actors can lead to the abandonment of science-based decision making.

Location and project-type matter

The type of project and its location can determine the intensity of opposition. While more than 60% of the projects Dr. Heikkila studied experienced low-intensity conflict, pipelines and wind farms were found to generate greater opposition than solar and transmission lines. More intense opposition was found in infrastructure projects located in counties with a majority of residents associated with the Democratic party (except with regards to transmission lines), while lower-intensity conflict was more common in counties with Hispanic and Black residents, raising important questions about environmental justice.

Regional differences also exist. Pipelines tend to generate more intense conflict in the West and the Midwest, while transmission lines tend to generate greater conflict in the Northeast, Midwest and the West. The South has lower levels of conflict in general.

Dr. Konisky examined the phenomenon of NIMBYism, testing whether the “not in my backyard” sentiment is as common in opposition to infrastructure projects as it appears in media. After distributing 16,200 surveys across 6 states and 14 projects, his team found little evidence of NIMBYism, as opposition and support of projects did not tend to vary with respondent’s proximity to them. What he did find was that people opposed projects if they were concerned about the impacts on environmental quality and climate change or had greater distrust in energy companies.

Process is critical

All of the panelists discussed the need to improve public engagement in decision-making. For Ms. Ormond, that includes early engagement, assessment and testing to give policymakers a baseline understanding of sentiment prior to hearings. This is necessary, in part, because of the emergence of paid actors and organizations that engage in astroturfing to either generate a crisis or the impression that a project is universally supported. Without that baseline knowledge, a policymaker could be swayed by disingenuous parties, she says.

Dr. Konisky noted the importance of listening to diverse voices in the decision-making process. “Government is not always great at that,” he said, adding that building trust in institutions takes time—a luxury we do not have. “This is a real puzzle,” he said. “We have to figure out a way forward to do both things well—to go fast but to also be inclusive.”

In some cases, specifically among RTOS, there is a fear of engaging the general public, who they often view as lacking technical expertise. That said, Ms. Konschnik notes the need for greater transparency—including posting meeting minutes, in order to increase public understanding of the process and decision-making related to energy investments.

Part of the challenge, Dr. Heikkila says, is that the act of engaging the public itself can generate conflict. We need to determine how to create dialogue in a way helps build trust and allows us to talk to each other in a product manner. Engaging early is important, but how you engage is essential, she says.

Explaining the “Why” behind projects

Demonstrating the relevance of new energy infrastructure is important in generating support. Drawing connections between major climate-related events like wildfires could compel people to engage in energy planning. Increasing the knowledge of stakeholders takes time, but Ms. Ormond has seen it build trust and generate greater support for a clean transition.

Beyond that, both Ms. Ormond and Dr. Heikkila noted the need to articulate a broader energy policy. Without a consistent, national energy policy, individual projects can suffer from a lack of purpose in the eyes of the public. However, Ms. Ormond notes that state goals of becoming 100% clean can also demonstrate to the public how each project supports these objectives, giving them a better understanding of how infrastructure fits into a broader goal. Demonstrating how individual projects can help us meet climate goals while ensuring a more reliable, efficient and equitable grid should be at the forefront.

Achieving public acceptance of energy infrastructure is possible

As we move towards a cleaner grid, we will be making significant investments in energy infrastructure. This will naturally cause conflicts and concern as individuals will be affected by these investments, one way or the other. However, this webinar demonstrated that not all is lost. As long as we ensure that process is inclusive, transparent and clearly demonstrates the social and environmental benefits associated with the investment, we can achieve a future grid that is equitable, clean and responsive to the concerns of stakeholders.

Posted in Energy Transition / Leave a comment

Energy Justice and the Just Transition in the Power Sector – New Research and Policy Approaches

This post is the first in a series dedicated to the future of the electricity sector and new scholarship supported by the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation. Each post is based on a discussion between select researchers and experts working on relevant policy. To learn more and join one of our upcoming conversations, visit the series website.

While scholars across academia, nongovernmental organizations and think tanks are grappling with transitioning to a cleaner, more efficient, reliable and equitable electric grid, bridging the gap between research and policy is critical to making informed decisions that will impact consumers, communities and the environment.

As we shift from fossil fuels to a cleaner grid, ensuring that no one is left behind and all communities can benefit is critical to a successful transition. EDF and New York University’s Institute for Policy Integrity at the NYU School of Law, with the support of a grant from the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation, are highlighting some of the most exciting research emerging from teams funded by the Foundation in a series of webinars with leading scholars and relevant policy experts.

Our first conversation—which you can watch here—examined how to make the transition for ratepayers, utilities and communities equitable, so people and communities can prosper as we move to cleaner sources of energy. The conversation, moderated by EDF’s Lauren Navarro, Senior Manager, Regulatory and Legislative Affairs, featured a panel including: Dr. Charles Sims, Director of the Energy and Environment Program at the Howard H. Baker Jr. Center for Pubic Policy at the University of Tennessee, Knoxville; Dr. Roman Sidortsov, Associate Professor of Energy Policy at Michigan Technical University; and Raya Salter, an attorney, energy justice advocate and member of the New York State Climate Action Council.

Distributed solar adoption’s impacts on the grid and its customers

Dr. Sims led us through a recent simulation he developed of the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA), modeling the individual decision to adopt rooftop solar panels and the impacts this adoption would have on grid and electricity costs. His agent-based computational model allowed his team to examine which groups would benefit and whether any groups may be worse off.

One of their important findings was that low-income incentive programs have helped close the gap of solar adoption between low- and high-income customers. However, they also found that net metering programs, which allow solar owners to be paid the full retail rate for solar generation, have widened the gap, likely due to a cost shifting between the two income groups.

New opportunities for old mines

Dr. Roman Sidortsov discussed his research on the barriers and opportunities associated with using underground mines as energy storage sites utilizing the pumped storage hydropower method (PUSH), a key technology to achieving a clean grid.

Dr. Sidortsov’s project examined whether old mines could take advantage of upper- and lower-level reservoirs to pump water through a hydroelectric turbine to generate power using a series of different designs. Leveraging an old mine in Negaunee, Michigan, as a case study, they found that not only could the mine serve the surrounding county’s population of 30,000 people continuously for 3.5 months; it could also to do so at a profit. Dr. Sidortsov sees great potential for nearly 1,000 decommissioned mines across the country to be used as storage facilities, which are already electrified and connected to a transmission system; this solution can help achieve a just transition in communities that would otherwise have been left behind as coal and mining are phased out.

Developing just transition policies in New York

Ms. Salter shared current progress under New York state’s ambitious 2019 Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act. The law, which aims to move the state to an economy-wide net zero goal by 2050, includes several provisions devoted to energy justice.

In addition to the Climate Action Council, the law also created a Just Transition Working Group, comprised of justice advocates, labor representatives, utilities and others. This group is charged with identifying electric generating facilities that may close due to the transition, studying job and workforce needs and providing recommendations to the council for how to best handle the transition equitably.

New York state is, as Ms. Salter noted, a tale of two grids. The upstate region benefits from greater access to hydroelectric power and renewables, while regions downstate draw an overwhelming percentage of their power from fossil fuels. She and others on the council are looking at ways to improve transmission from upstate to western and downstate regions to take advantage of the renewable generation pockets necessary to achieve the state’s goals. She and her colleagues are also hoping to address the need for long-duration storage to fill some of the renewable gaps the state experiences in winter.

Connecting research and policy

Ms. Navarro asked Drs. Sims and Sidortsov how their research directly applied to Ms. Salter’s policy work in New York and beyond. Dr. Sims explained that he initially gravitated toward the transition to solar, due to the existing gap in low- and high-income customers’ adoption. “There is also the fear that utilities will have to raise their rates,” disproportionately impacting low-income customers. Avoiding this scenario will depend on policy action and a greater understanding of any potential negative impacts caused by certain policies encouraging greater adoption of rooftop solar; academic research can thus help highlight any unintended outcomes from policy adoption.

Dr. Sims also sees connections between the retirement of coal plants and the subsequent impacts on local communities and low-income rate payers in rural communities, who may face price shocks due to large-scale adoption in higher-income, urban areas. He sees a lot of opportunity study how different policies can improve conditions for lower-income consumers.

Dr. Sidortsov said his work was conducted with the transition in mind, as he specifically considered the layered benefits for communities who may have been negatively impacted by the shuttering of mines. He hopes PUSH storage facilities could turn existing liabilities into assets, so communities that have been overburdened by risk could experience renewed prosperity.

Panelists also discussed the importance of listening to community concerns. Ms. Salter explained that energy justice goes beyond reducing greenhouse gas emissions. For mass adoption to take place, we need to consider aspects that may prevent communities from welcoming renewable facilities, especially as policymakers consider how some have already been unequally harmed by the fossil fuel industry.

Overall, this conversation showed how research can contribute to identifying equitable policies, but also the importance of having policy guide new avenues of research. When it comes to achieving a clean and efficient electric grid, we must think about the role that this transition plays in helping improve equitable outcomes, and whether policies may exacerbate existing inequities.

Looking ahead to stakeholders

The panelists’ interest in communities is apt, as it will serve as the next topic in our series. Our upcoming policy and research conversation, to be held December 16th, 10:30am ET, will examine public acceptance and governance topics for energy policy. Moderated by Dr. Elizabeth Wilson of Dartmouth, the panel includes Dr. Tanya Heikkila (University of Colorado Denver), Dr. David Konisky (Indiana University), Dr. Kate Konschnik (Duke University) and Amanda Ormond (Western Grid).

Posted in Energy Transition / Leave a comment

How can the U.S. gas pipeline system support a path to net-zero GHG emissions by 2050?

An economist’s guide to filling in the research gaps.

Natural gas currently accounts for more than a third of U.S. energy-related CO2 emissions, but efforts to decarbonize the economy – in particular by replacing gas with electricity in a wide variety of critical applications – imply decreasing future gas demand and CO2 emissions from the industrial and building sectors as well as the power sector.

Resolving the economic and regulatory challenges that follow from this will require filling in crucial knowledge gaps about the U.S. gas transportation system – and how that market could be designed to support the energy transition.

An energy system already in transition

Transitioning the U.S. to a clean energy system is a critical step toward the long-term goal of reaching net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. The U.S. power system has already taken steps in the right direction. More electricity is coming from variable renewable energy sources (VREs) like solar and wind, while coal plants are being retired.

But even when we factor in options like energy storage, demand response and build out of electric transmission capacity, gas-fired generators will likely continue to have a role in the next decades by providing peak and ramping capacity at times when electricity production from wind and solar is low or electricity demand is high.

This, in turn, means that the country’s vast network of interstate gas pipelines has its own role to play in the US energy transition.

The problem is that the pipeline transportation market was built to support predictable, relatively constant demand (e.g. industry and buildings). It is not currently designed to accommodate the variability of demand from gas-fired power plants which can fluctuate significantly by the hour – or even more frequently. Nor is the pipeline system designed to be compatible with other low-carbon fuel options or phased down as electrification increases.

More economics research needed

To reconcile this disconnect, we need a much better understanding of how the pipeline market works, and how it could work. Compared to U.S. power markets, the interstate gas pipeline transportation market is characterized by opaque operations and practices and has not been studied much by economists. This has limited the economic analysis available to support decision-making by policy makers and stakeholders looking to address this problem.

More research and analysis is needed to inform how design, regulation and operation of the US gas transportation market can be improved, and the stranded asset risk and associated distributional impacts managed.

To stimulate and facilitate new research in this area important to the US energy transition, I recently published an introductory guide to the U.S. gas pipeline transportation market for researchers and energy market analysts. It outlines the main market features and regulations important for understanding the U.S. gas transportation market.

The objective is to facilitate further research that will help answer questions like:

  • Who is, or should be, shouldering the costs of gas transportation infrastructure and bearing the risk of some of these assets becoming stranded in a low-carbon-energy future? How should such long-term stranded asset risk be managed in the face of electrification and decarbonization?
  • What changes are needed in the gas transportation markets to provide more flexible gas delivery services to gas-fired generators that provide valuable balancing in the power markets?
  • What role can hydrogen play in U.S. decarbonization efforts? How could a potential hydrogen market be created and which parts of the gas pipeline network would be beneficial to make compatible with hydrogen transportation, given potential centers of hydrogen supply and demand.

By publishing this paper, we hope to inspire PhD students, researchers, consultancies and market analysts to conduct analyses on this topic crucially important to the U.S. energy transition. Such new research would ideally generate policy-relevant conclusions on how to reform the U.S. gas pipeline transportation market – and next be communicated to  energy market regulators and policy makers to support decision-making that will facilitate the US transition to net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.

Also posted in Economics / Leave a comment