{"id":776,"date":"2015-11-19T10:28:45","date_gmt":"2015-11-19T15:28:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/markets\/?p=776"},"modified":"2015-11-19T11:19:06","modified_gmt":"2015-11-19T16:19:06","slug":"from-climate-finance-to-finance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/markets\/2015\/11\/19\/from-climate-finance-to-finance\/","title":{"rendered":"From climate finance to finance"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/gwagner.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Carbon_markets_and_climate_finance_GWagner.pdf\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft wp-image-781 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/markets\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/32\/files\/2015\/11\/Capture-195x300.jpg\" alt=\"IETA 2015 Making Waves\" width=\"195\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/markets\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/32\/files\/2015\/11\/Capture-195x300.jpg 195w, https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/markets\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/32\/files\/2015\/11\/Capture-664x1024.jpg 664w, https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/markets\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/32\/files\/2015\/11\/Capture.jpg 716w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 195px) 100vw, 195px\" \/><\/a>Climate finance is lots of things to lots of people. For some, it\u2019s the $100 billion \u201cCopenhagen commitment\u201d. For others, it\u2019s Citi\u2019s latest sustainable finance pledge of $100 billion. It\u2019s Bill Gates\u2019s $1 billion clean energy investment. It\u2019s public and private monies; mitigation and adaptation; loans, bonds, equity stakes, high-risk ventures, Kyoto-style allowances, offset credits, and private and public grants. It\u2019s all of the above. When it comes to carbon markets, climate finance is often about what happens with allowance revenue. That&#8217;s important. But the primary goal is, or ought to be, appropriately pricing the climate externality.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s about nudging massive private investment flows from the current high-carbon, low-efficiency path toward a low-carbon, high-efficiency one. That, in turn, means focusing on the incremental dollars necessary to sway private investments. In the end, it\u2019s all about the margin.<\/p>\n<h2>Righting the wrong incentives<\/h2>\n<p>The incentives facing many private actors today are clearly misleading. Benefits, for the most part, are fully privatised, while many costs are socialised. That goes in particular for environmental and climate costs. The \u2018hidden\u2019 costs of energy investments are large and negative. While largely invisible to those doing the polluting, these costs are all too visible to society as a whole: in form of costs to health, ecosystems, and the economy. In the United States, for example, every additional tonne of coal, every barrel of oil, causes more in external damages than it adds value to GDP. That calculation does not even consider the large carbon externality.<\/p>\n<p>There, one of the more important metrics is the so-called \u2018social cost of carbon\u2019. The US government\u2019s central estimate is $40 per tonne of CO2 released today. The true number is likely a lot higher, especially when considering the many \u2018known unknowns\u2019 not quantified (and sometimes not quantifiable). Regardless of the precise amount, it\u2019s the cost to society \u2014 to the economy, health, ecosystems, the whole lot \u2014 of each tonne of CO2 released today over its lifetime.<\/p>\n<p>The social cost itself is inherently a marginal concept. While all of us seven billion pay a fraction of a penny of the social cost for each of the billions of tonnes emitted today, few of those doing the actual polluting pay themselves. A price on carbon, through cap and trade or a carbon tax, ensures that anyone covered by the market forces faces the right incentives. Polluters face a direct cost of pollution and, thus, are driven to pollute less. The law of demand at work.<\/p>\n<h2>Incentives at work<\/h2>\n<p>One of the guiding principles of economics is that people are motivated by incentives. That\u2019s not too surprising. It would be surprising if people were not motivated by what is designed to motivate them. When faced with a price on carbon, emissions go down, and investments change course.<\/p>\n<p>At the level of individual businesses, solid evidence points to how existing carbon prices have incentivised investment in clean technology, research and development.<\/p>\n<p>In places with no external carbon price, investments can be affected by internal carbon pricing. The Carbon Disclosure Project counts over 400 companies with an internal, \u2018shadow\u2019 carbon price, either independently or in reaction to an external market price. That price, in turn, figures into day-to-day decisions from where to site a new facility to how to source energy.<\/p>\n<p>In 1999, the World Bank conducted a study to determine the impact of a shadow price for carbon on the Bank\u2019s investments. At an internal price of $40, the highest evaluated price, almost half of the analysed investments would have had a negative net present value, and, thus, would likely not have been made. For the rest, profitability would have been significantly reduced.<\/p>\n<p>Individual investments, if organised at a large enough scale, make the difference. Take the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), a market-based mechanism that channels funding to emission reduction projects in developing countries. Countries and investors can invest in CDM projects as a way of meeting domestic reduction goals, or complying with domestic carbon prices. Through the CDM, hundreds of billions of private sector dollars have gone towards funding GHG mitigation.<\/p>\n<p>With a government-imposed carbon price, reflecting the true cost of carbon to society, investment portfolios would change. Drastically. We\u2019ve seen it in practice, but the current scale is not large enough to sway the majority of investments that matter. Today, in fact, much of firms\u2019 investments towards mitigating climate change are made voluntarily.<\/p>\n<h2>From Climate Finance to Finance<\/h2>\n<p>Climate finance often is \u2018concessional\u2019 finance. That might be outright development aid. It also includes voluntary commitments like Citi\u2019s $100 billion. Citi, of course, is not alone. Goldman Sachs committed $40 billion in 2012, Bank of America $50 billion in 2013, all made over 10 years. Meanwhile, these three banks alone underwrite hundreds of billions of loans every year. Total global Foreign Direct Investment is in the trillions.<\/p>\n<p>These massive financial flows won\u2019t be redirected overnight. But they do follow incentives. In fact, that\u2019s all they follow.<\/p>\n<p>Enter carbon markets. They ensure that anyone covered by the market faces the right incentives. The prevailing allowance price is one good proxy of the level of ambition of any particular market. It\u2019s also what helps nudge investments into the right direction. In econ-speak, it\u2019s all about internalising externalities. In English, it\u2019s about paying your fair share and no longer socialising costs.<\/p>\n<p>None of that renders what\u2019s traditionally called \u2018climate finance\u2019 unnecessary. There are still plenty of uses for additional monies. In particular, carbon markets are all about mitigation. Adaptation might dovetail nicely on some forms of mitigation, but it\u2019s not the primary goal. That\u2019s where foreign aid as well as government and private grants come in. If anything, those amounts need to be scaled up, too.<\/p>\n<p>But the true scaling happens on the investment front. That\u2019s no longer \u201cclimate finance.\u201d It\u2019s simply \u201cfinance.\u201d Re-channelling only 0.1% of total wealth under active management globally amounts to around a $100 billion shift. Efforts, of course, must not stop there. It\u2019s about channelling the full $100 trillion into the right direction.<\/p>\n<p><em>Gernot Wagner is lead senior economist at the Environmental Defense Fund, and co-author, with Harvard\u2019s Martin L. Weitzman, of <\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/gwagner.com\/books\/climate-shock\/\">Climate Shock<\/a><em> (Princeton University Press, 2015).<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>This article was first published in IETA&#8217;s Greenhouse Gas Market 2015 report &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.ieta.org\/ghgmarket2015\" target=\"_blank\">Making Waves<\/a>&#8220;. <a href=\"http:\/\/gwagner.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Carbon_markets_and_climate_finance_GWagner.pdf\">Download the full text<\/a> in PDF form.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Climate finance is lots of things to lots of people. For some, it\u2019s the $100 billion \u201cCopenhagen commitment\u201d. For others, it\u2019s Citi\u2019s latest sustainable finance pledge of $100 billion. It\u2019s Bill Gates\u2019s $1 billion clean energy investment. It\u2019s public and private monies; mitigation and adaptation; loans, bonds, equity stakes, high-risk ventures, Kyoto-style allowances, offset credits, &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":850,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[325,16683,330],"tags":[],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-776","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-cap-and-trade","category-international-agreement","category-politics"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>From climate finance to finance - Market Forces<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/markets\/2015\/11\/19\/from-climate-finance-to-finance\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"From climate finance to finance - Market Forces\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Climate finance is lots of things to lots of people. For some, it\u2019s the $100 billion \u201cCopenhagen commitment\u201d. For others, it\u2019s Citi\u2019s latest sustainable finance pledge of $100 billion. It\u2019s Bill Gates\u2019s $1 billion clean energy investment. It\u2019s public and private monies; mitigation and adaptation; loans, bonds, equity stakes, high-risk ventures, Kyoto-style allowances, offset credits, ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/markets\/2015\/11\/19\/from-climate-finance-to-finance\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Market Forces\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2015-11-19T15:28:45+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2015-11-19T16:19:06+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/markets\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/32\/files\/2015\/11\/Capture-195x300.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Gernot Wagner\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Gernot Wagner\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.edf.org\\\/markets\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/19\\\/from-climate-finance-to-finance\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.edf.org\\\/markets\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/19\\\/from-climate-finance-to-finance\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Gernot Wagner\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.edf.org\\\/markets\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/848fa9daa71b0c5e7795b5938249145a\"},\"headline\":\"From climate finance to finance\",\"datePublished\":\"2015-11-19T15:28:45+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2015-11-19T16:19:06+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.edf.org\\\/markets\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/19\\\/from-climate-finance-to-finance\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":1062,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.edf.org\\\/markets\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/19\\\/from-climate-finance-to-finance\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"http:\\\/\\\/blogs.edf.org\\\/markets\\\/wp-content\\\/blogs.dir\\\/32\\\/files\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/Capture-195x300.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Cap and Trade\",\"International\",\"Politics\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.edf.org\\\/markets\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/19\\\/from-climate-finance-to-finance\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.edf.org\\\/markets\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/19\\\/from-climate-finance-to-finance\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/blogs.edf.org\\\/markets\\\/2015\\\/11\\\/19\\\/from-climate-finance-to-finance\\\/\",\"name\":\"From climate finance to finance - 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