{"id":10843,"date":"2019-09-26T12:50:47","date_gmt":"2019-09-26T16:50:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/?p=10843"},"modified":"2019-09-26T13:49:36","modified_gmt":"2019-09-26T17:49:36","slug":"north-carolina-prepare-sea-level-rise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/2019\/09\/26\/north-carolina-prepare-sea-level-rise\/","title":{"rendered":"North Carolina must prepare for sea level rise now"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>North Carolina\u2019s barrier islands (aka the Outer Banks) received the brunt of Hurricane Dorian\u2019s impact to the U.S. mainland, but the damage could have been a lot worse had the storm not been weakened after ravaging the Bahamas as a Category 5 hurricane.<\/p>\n<p>With the devastation of Hurricanes Florence, Michael and Matthew still in recent memory, North Carolinians did not need another reminder of the destructive power of hurricanes. However, Dorian highlighted the particular vulnerability of North Carolina\u2019s barrier islands, and the need for us to develop solutions now for how this region confronts sea level rise and more frequent and intense storms. <!--more--><\/p>\n<p><strong>Barrier islands losing defense against rising seas<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Despite being a Category 1 storm, Dorian cut 54 new inlets into the Cape Lookout National Seashore, proving just how vulnerable the Outer Banks are to storms and sea level rise. Some of the storm-carved inlets may naturally fill in without costly investment.\u00a0But in areas where the breach extended to the sound, the inlets are expected to widen and deepen quickly as tides and smaller storms cause further erosion to the island and surrounding marshes.<\/p>\n<p>As storms are getting stronger, seas are also rising, resulting in greater damages from increased erosion and storm surges that extend further inland, filling estuaries and swelling rivers. This pressure on the Outer Banks ecosystem will continue to increase until there simply will not be enough sand to keep up, and the barrier islands will be defenseless against sea level rise.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_10861\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-10861\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a class=\"hoverZoomLink\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/52\/files\/2019\/09\/will.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-10861 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/52\/files\/2019\/09\/will-1024x577.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"304\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/52\/files\/2019\/09\/will-1024x577.png 1024w, https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/52\/files\/2019\/09\/will-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/52\/files\/2019\/09\/will-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/52\/files\/2019\/09\/will.png 1259w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-10861\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">As North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality Secretary Michael Regan recently observed in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coastalreview.org\/2019\/09\/deq-officials-assess-damage\/\">Coastal Review Online<\/a>, Hurricane Dorian shows \u201cthat climate change is something that we have to begin to take a serious look at from a planning process.\u201d That is especially true for the state\u2019s barrier islands.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Looking ahead, Western Carolina University Professor Robert Young notes, \u201cI believe that Core Banks may have crossed a threshold where we will see increased dynamism and storm impacts in the future as sea level rise continues. Any infrastructure rebuilding or planning for future infrastructure should be done in light of this new reality.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>It\u2019s time for North Carolina to make a plan<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>North Carolina must begin planning for the future, learning from other states that have experienced similar damages from rising seas and storms.<\/p>\n<p>After Hurricane Katrina, Louisiana created a <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/2018\/09\/28\/coastal-communities-plan-for-future-louisiana\/\">Coastal Master Plan<\/a> to determine how to manage its coastal land loss crisis, including where and when to restore barrier islands. The plan was created with local input and bipartisan support, and has guided an investment of more than $1 billion in restoration funds over the last 10 years.<\/p>\n<p>After Hurricanes Irene and Super Storm Sandy, New York developed a comprehensive resilience plan to guide investments in hazard mitigation and policies aimed at reducing damages. The plan included programs to buy out repetitively damaged properties and encourage restoration of natural infrastructure \u2013 an important investment given coastal wetlands <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lloyds.com\/~\/media\/files\/lloyds\/corporate-responsibility\/ltrf\/coastal_wetlands_and_flood_damage_reduction.pdf?la=en\">helped prevent<\/a> $625 million in damages during Sandy. <span class='bctt-click-to-tweet'><span class='bctt-ctt-text'><a href='https:\/\/x.com\/intent\/tweet?url=https%3A%2F%2Fblogs.edf.org%2Fgrowingreturns%2F2019%2F09%2F26%2Fnorth-carolina-prepare-sea-level-rise%2F&#038;text=Recent%20hurricanes%20highlight%20the%20need%20for%20North%20Carolina%20to%20develop%20a%20plan%20to%20confront%20sea%20level%20rise%20and%20more%20frequent%20and%20intense%20storms.&#038;via=GrowingReturns&#038;related=GrowingReturns' target='_blank'rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Recent hurricanes highlight the need for North Carolina to develop a plan to confront sea level rise and more frequent and intense storms. <\/a><\/span><a href='https:\/\/x.com\/intent\/tweet?url=https%3A%2F%2Fblogs.edf.org%2Fgrowingreturns%2F2019%2F09%2F26%2Fnorth-carolina-prepare-sea-level-rise%2F&#038;text=Recent%20hurricanes%20highlight%20the%20need%20for%20North%20Carolina%20to%20develop%20a%20plan%20to%20confront%20sea%20level%20rise%20and%20more%20frequent%20and%20intense%20storms.&#038;via=GrowingReturns&#038;related=GrowingReturns' target='_blank' class='bctt-ctt-btn'rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Share on X<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>From these states, North Carolina can learn the value of establishing plans to invest over the long term and guide decisions, such as how long to keep the current coastal systems in place and when to begin to shift for the realities of a changing climate. This will require substantial local conversations that cannot be solely led from Raleigh.<\/p>\n<p>North Carolina\u2019s resilience plan must include a clear vision for the future, be science-based to set priorities, and reflect economic and cultural realities. Then it can be used to guide a number of coastal decisions, including whether and where barrier islands should be restored, whether to install natural or hardened infrastructure, and when to let natural processes take their course.<\/p>\n<p>Going forward, North Carolina will be better suited to confront a future with sea level rise and to leverage post-disaster funding if it has a plan in place before the next disaster strikes.<img id=\"hzDownscaled\" \/><img id=\"hzDownscaled\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Going forward, North Carolina will be better suited to confront a future with sea level rise and to leverage post disaster funding if it has a plan in place before the next disaster strikes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4658,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[107017],"tags":[113305,557,92490,140],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-10843","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-coasts-watersheds","tag-hurricane-dorian","tag-north-carolina","tag-resilience","tag-sea-level-rise"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10843","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4658"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10843"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10843\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10843"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10843"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10843"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=10843"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}