{"id":10076,"date":"2018-12-04T14:14:36","date_gmt":"2018-12-04T19:14:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/?p=10076"},"modified":"2025-06-10T16:44:09","modified_gmt":"2025-06-10T20:44:09","slug":"western-monarch-butterfly-population-decline","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/2018\/12\/04\/western-monarch-butterfly-population-decline\/","title":{"rendered":"Latest population count could spell doom for the monarch. Unless we act now."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/xerces.org\/butterfly-conservation\/western-monarch-thanksgiving-count\/\">Western Monarch Thanksgiving Count<\/a> began in 1997, when scientists first noticed declines and started to track the population.<\/p>\n<p>In the years since, the western monarch butterfly population (the smaller of the two North American populations, which overwinters on the California coast) has dropped dramatically, and this year\u2019s preliminary data is especially alarming.<\/p>\n<p>Early <a href=\"https:\/\/qz.com\/1480192\/monarch-populations-in-the-us-west-are-down-86-this-year\/?utm_source=Ag+Insider+Subscribers&amp;utm_campaign=b0a7e36d18-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_02_11_42_COPY_01&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_term=0_b0e8c666dd-b0a7e36d18-55780669\">reports<\/a> on this year\u2019s count suggest that populations have dropped 86 percent since last year, with the population at less than 0.5 percent of historic levels. Approximately 20,000 monarchs were counted at the monarch\u2019s overwintering sites this Thanksgiving, compared to 148,000 counted last year. The Xerces Society estimates that the overall population <a href=\"https:\/\/xerces.org\/2018\/11\/29\/critically-low-monarch-population-in-california\/\">will be around 30,000<\/a>.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_10077\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-10077\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/52\/files\/2018\/12\/6679754951_e79b81d855_o.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-10077 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/52\/files\/2018\/12\/6679754951_e79b81d855_o-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"360\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/52\/files\/2018\/12\/6679754951_e79b81d855_o-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/52\/files\/2018\/12\/6679754951_e79b81d855_o-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/52\/files\/2018\/12\/6679754951_e79b81d855_o-768x512.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-10077\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">So far, 97 of the monarch\u2019s overwintering sites along the California coast have been counted, representing approximately 75 percent of the total western population. (Photo Credit: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/amyofbadgroove\/6679754951\/in\/photolist-bbgufc-f3oA5-aZUuDV-9ZaJSM-bbgtGB-bbgshx-zUpjRb-zE5XFE-dvMj2C-dvMo7W-5RZXFx-5S5jDU-5Uss7Y-5RZLpp-5S5cxb-5RZM8x-pYJwcU-dvMhx3-9NHdp8-9pR2wF-D3eBF-Q2EYp9-QfyqPc-96y8jQ-f3oCg-dvFLiR-2Jf8t-Q5neGv-7ESr5-FLvwzE-FLvxdd-9pQSuF-FNNonk-KdBqbP-bbgsqr-9NL1EY-u1JpH-9pU39d-f3oyG-EcMqoW-9pR6DM-zE5Z6y-zXCp4k-Q5nr24-PFDzyE-ETmMew-zE5X11-zUpkdd-zXCvki-bbguqP\">Amy Marbach<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>This is a grim number, especially when you consider studies showing that 30,000 butterflies is the average population needed to avoid a complete <u><a href=\"https:\/\/www.westernmonarchcount.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/Western-monarch-PVA_Schultz-et-al.-2017.pdf\">collapse of the western migration<\/a><\/u>, and extinction of the entire western population.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s clear that western monarchs cannot survive even one more year of decline like this one.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p><strong>How did we get here?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The low numbers were not a surprise for those of us tracking the butterfly\u2019s migration.<\/p>\n<p>Overall, monarchs were seen in lower abundance across the western range, with lower utilization of available habitat, though scientists are unsure what exactly caused such a dramatic decline this year. Theories include the fierce fire season, spring storms and the lingering effects of a historic drought. But these are just a few climate-related factors contributing to the long-term decline of the species.<\/p>\n<p>Even without this year\u2019s harsh climate impacts, the western monarch population is down 97 percent since the 1980s. Other major drivers of this decline include habitat loss throughout the range, driven by large-scale land conversation across the western agricultural landscape.<span class='bctt-click-to-tweet'><span class='bctt-ctt-text'><a href='https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?url=https%3A%2F%2Fblogs.edf.org%2Fgrowingreturns%2F2018%2F12%2F04%2Fwestern-monarch-butterfly-population-decline%2F&#038;text=The%20western%20monarch%20butterfly%20population%20saw%20a%20sharp%2086%25%20decline%20since%20last%20year%2C%20confirming%20the%20species%20is%20still%20facing%20numerous%20obstacles%20in%20its%20fight%20for%20survival&#038;via=GrowingReturns&#038;related=GrowingReturns' target='_blank'rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The western monarch butterfly population saw a sharp 86% decline since last year, confirming the species is still facing numerous obstacles in its fight for survival <\/a><\/span><a href='https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?url=https%3A%2F%2Fblogs.edf.org%2Fgrowingreturns%2F2018%2F12%2F04%2Fwestern-monarch-butterfly-population-decline%2F&#038;text=The%20western%20monarch%20butterfly%20population%20saw%20a%20sharp%2086%25%20decline%20since%20last%20year%2C%20confirming%20the%20species%20is%20still%20facing%20numerous%20obstacles%20in%20its%20fight%20for%20survival&#038;via=GrowingReturns&#038;related=GrowingReturns' target='_blank' class='bctt-ctt-btn'rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Share on X<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>The monarch butterfly relies on flowering plants for nectar and on milkweed plants to lay their eggs and for caterpillars to eat. In California and across the West, much of the native milkweed and flowering plants have been eradicated on agricultural lands as a result of broad herbicide applications.<\/p>\n<p>If we\u2019re going to change the trajectory for the monarch, we need to not only address climate change, but also protect, restore and enhance milkweed and wildflower habitat on working lands.<\/p>\n<p><strong>A strategy to save the butterfly<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Recent declines have energized those fighting for the monarch. Across California, EDF is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.edf.org\/ecosystems\/monarch-butterfly-habitat-exchange\">partnering with farmers<\/a> who want to conserve this iconic species \u2013 farmers whose families have worked the land for generations and have seen the decline of the monarch firsthand.<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019re working with these farmers to restore key patches of monarch habitat in places like the Central Valley, where monarchs travel in the spring and fall on their journey to and from the California coast. We\u2019re also supporting more public funding for monarch and pollinator conservation, with a major recent success in the passage of <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/2018\/06\/14\/californias-budget-is-not-about-resistance-its-about-resilience\/\">AB 2421<\/a>, a bill that provides $3 million for monarch conservation in California.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_10078\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-10078\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/52\/files\/2018\/12\/Image-from-iOS-1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-10078\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/52\/files\/2018\/12\/Image-from-iOS-1-1024x768.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"540\" height=\"405\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/52\/files\/2018\/12\/Image-from-iOS-1-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/52\/files\/2018\/12\/Image-from-iOS-1-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/52\/files\/2018\/12\/Image-from-iOS-1-768x576.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-10078\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">EDF and agricultural partners are working quickly to restore habitat now to bolster next year\u2019s migration and population.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>This February, we\u2019re hosting a meeting to assess the state of the science on the western monarch population and determine an immediate no-regrets strategy to save the species.<\/p>\n<p>Through these initiatives, we hope to restore 30,000 acres high-quality monarch habitat in California over the next 10 years to bring stability and resiliency back to the western population.<\/p>\n<p>We still have a chance to turn things around for the western monarch and avoid the extinction of a beloved and iconic species. But it is imperative to act now.<\/p>\n<div><a class=\"jumpOut nextButton\" href=\"https:\/\/www.edf.org\/ecosystems\/monarch-butterfly-habitat-exchange\"><span class=\"boxInner\">Learn more about EDF&#8217;s work to recover the monarch<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Early reports on this year\u2019s monarch butterfly count show populations have dropped 86 percent since last year. But recent declines have energized those working to save the monarch.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103884,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[120554,71922],"tags":[200,113272,102702],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-10076","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-agriculture","category-water","tag-california","tag-decline","tag-monarch"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10076","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103884"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10076"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10076\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15477,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10076\/revisions\/15477"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10076"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10076"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10076"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/growingreturns\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=10076"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}