{"id":2843,"date":"2012-06-25T15:58:16","date_gmt":"2012-06-25T15:58:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/energyexchange\/?p=2843"},"modified":"2012-06-25T16:04:23","modified_gmt":"2012-06-25T16:04:23","slug":"ercots-three-card-monte-trick-for-grid-reliability","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/energyexchange\/2012\/06\/25\/ercots-three-card-monte-trick-for-grid-reliability\/","title":{"rendered":"ERCOT\u2019s Three-card Monte Trick For Grid Reliability"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_2844\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-2844\" style=\"width: 300px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/energyexchange\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/38\/files\/2012\/06\/3-card-source-Arnie-Levin.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-2844\" title=\"3 card (source- Arnie Levin)\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/energyexchange\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/38\/files\/2012\/06\/3-card-source-Arnie-Levin-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/energyexchange\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/38\/files\/2012\/06\/3-card-source-Arnie-Levin-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/energyexchange\/wp-content\/blogs.dir\/38\/files\/2012\/06\/3-card-source-Arnie-Levin.jpg 473w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-2844\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">(Credit: Arnie Levin)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><em>\u00a0<em>This commentary was originally posted <em><em>on the <\/em><\/em><\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/texascleanairmatters\/\">Texas Clean Air Matters blog<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>First we have enough generating capacity, but next year is the problem; now that next year is upon us it\u2019s really the next few years that are the issue. The Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT), grid operator for most of Texas, foresees potential electricity shortages. Clearly the risk is real, but when?\u00a0 This year? Two years from now? Reports swirl by, some only weeks apart, showing different numbers and contradicting previous reports. Are we seeing a bureaucratic version of Three-card Monte?<\/p>\n<p>During last summer\u2019s drought, demand peaked on August 3, using more than 68,000 megawatts. ERCOT\u2019s stated goal is to maintain a 13.75% reserve margin in generating capacity. Their <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ercot.com\/content\/news\/presentations\/2012\/Brattle%20ERCOT%20Resource%20Adequacy%20Review%20-%202012-06-01.pdf\">latest report <\/a>shows the state\u2019s electrical grid will <a href=\"http:\/\/in.reuters.com\/article\/2012\/06\/08\/ercot-report-idINL1E8H829V20120608\">fail to meet the target reserve margin <\/a>as soon as 2014, two years from now.\u00a0 A report in early May actually shows that this summer ERCOT will fail to meet that target as well, although it isn\u2019t stated explicitly.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile EPA is meeting with ERCOT and the nation\u2019s other grid operators to develop an implementation timeline for the new Maximum Achievable Control Technology (MACT) air toxics rule, which should begin this fall. Utilities have three years to implement the new rules\u2026unless the three-year timeline threatens grid reliability. Then utilities can get a fourth year\u2026unless grid reliability is still threatened. Then utilities have a full five years to comply.<\/p>\n<p>Concerns about grid reliability are very real, but they are due to power companies deciding to hold off on constructing new power plants while prices are so low.\u00a0 Unfortunately some state leaders and utilities have seized on these ERCOT reports, and are shifting their conclusions in an attempt to delay rules that have been in the works for years, and in some cases decades.\u00a0 The new EPA standards will dramatically cut mercury, heavy metals, acid gas and other emissions from power plants. The public health benefits to our state will be enormous, especially for Texas children who breathe air tainted by power plant emissions. The cost of unwarranted delay is a price Texas should not have to pay.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00a0This commentary was originally posted on the Texas Clean Air Matters blog. First we have enough generating capacity, but next year is the problem; now that next year is upon us it\u2019s really the next few years that are the issue. The Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT), grid operator for most of Texas, foresees &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":42,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[181],"tags":[],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-2843","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-texas"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>ERCOT\u2019s Three-card Monte Trick For Grid Reliability - Energy Exchange<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/energyexchange\/2012\/06\/25\/ercots-three-card-monte-trick-for-grid-reliability\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ERCOT\u2019s Three-card Monte Trick For Grid Reliability - Energy Exchange\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u00a0This commentary was originally posted on the Texas Clean Air Matters blog. 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