{"id":11723,"date":"2015-11-09T12:05:41","date_gmt":"2015-11-09T17:05:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/climate411\/?p=11723"},"modified":"2015-11-09T12:05:41","modified_gmt":"2015-11-09T17:05:41","slug":"chinas-underestimated-carbon-emissions-what-does-it-mean-for-climate-action","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.edf.org\/climate411\/2015\/11\/09\/chinas-underestimated-carbon-emissions-what-does-it-mean-for-climate-action\/","title":{"rendered":"China’s underestimated carbon emissions: What does it mean for climate action?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a>By Dan Dudek<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

The New York Times<\/em> revealed in a Nov. 4 article that China has been burning as much as 17 percent more coal annually than previously thought, citing new Chinese government data.<\/p>\n

It was sobering news to all of us who are working to reduce China\u2019s dependency on fossil fuels, but not necessarily a verdict on the country\u2019s \u2013 or the world\u2019s \u2013 prospects going forward.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s important to note, first of all, that China\u2019s revised coal consumption numbers have not changed scientists\u2019 estimates of global carbon dioxide levels in the air. Unlike national emissions data, which is based on fuel consumption statistics, global levels are measured directly.<\/p>\n

So what do we make of the news that China, the world\u2019s largest greenhouse gas emitter, has been underestimating coal use since 2000?<\/p>\n

China needs good data, and knows it<\/strong><\/p>\n

Significantly higher emissions in any country increase the urgency and\u00a0difficulty of avoiding the worst impacts<\/a> of climate change \u2013 and this is especially true for an economy the size of China\u2019s. However, it is significant that this story was prompted by\u00a0the Chinese government reporting its own data corrections, and not by an external watchdog.<\/p>\n

China has acknowledged the challenges it faces trying to develop robust emissions estimates, and the new numbers, though troubling, are a sign that the country is making progress in this regard.<\/p>\n

This is important not just for the international climate negotiations that kick off in Paris later this month, but also for China\u2019s long-term strategy.<\/p>\n

China has made it a priority to upgrade its baseline inventory emissions data, especially for sources that might be included in its national emissions trading system<\/a>.\u00a0Good baseline data is a prerequisite to the effective carbon trading and reduction program Environmental Defense Fund has been working toward for 25 years<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Needed now: Deeper emissions cuts\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

It\u2019s also important to note that while the emission data was revised, China\u2019s growth in coal consumption has actually been declining, a trend that remains unchanged and will likely continue.<\/p>\n

The government has recently targeted 6.5 percent economic growth as the official target for the next five years, down from the recent 7- percent rate. Slower growth, air quality concerns, new requirements to invest in renewables and energy efficiency, and the international commitments<\/a> to peak emissions and introduce a carbon market will all put continued downward pressure on coal.<\/p>\n

China\u2019s data correction does not change our basic understanding of what it will take to reach the crucial turning point<\/a> where global emissions finally level off and begin to decline.<\/p>\n

We have long known that much deeper reductions will be required to get us there. The Paris commitments\u00a0are shaping up to be a major milestone on that road, but won\u2019t by themselves get us where we need to go.<\/p>\n

For China,\u00a0the solution remains a national carbon market\u00a0that creates the incentives to\u00a0 lower emissions as efficiently as possible. China remains committed to launching the market \u00a0in 2017.<\/p>\n

For all of us who understand the urgency of global climate change, The New York Time<\/em>s story is a reminder that there is still a great deal of work still to be done \u2013 in China and beyond<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Image source: Flickr\/Nicol\u00f2 Lazzati<\/a>\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

This post originally appeared on our EDF Voices blog<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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