Climate 411

From Cali to Belèm: Finding Common Ground for Nature and Climate

This blog was authored by Milloni Doshi, Project Manager, Global Engagement and Partnerships and Annie Mark, Senior Director, Global Partnerships.

Photo by Milloni Doshi at COP16

The Conference of the Parties (COP) of the UN Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) is a global meeting focused on conserving nature. Unlike the United Nations’ larger annual climate conferences, CBD meetings are usually smaller and have a specific focus: conserving and restoring biodiversity. In 2022, countries adopted the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF), a landmark plan aimed at halting and reversing biodiversity loss by 2030. Many call it the “Paris Agreement” for nature.  

This year’s COP16 took place in Cali, Colombia and was the largest yet. Although discussions moved slowly and ended without a final agreement, COP16 sparked important conversations about how nature and climate are deeply connected. This was a positive development on the “Rio Trio” —a partnership between the leadership of the UN three conventions on biodiversity, climate, and desertification. These pathway ideas may help shape future climate talks, including next week’s COP29 in Baku, Azerbaijan, and COP30 next year in Belem, Brazil.  

Pathway 1: Recognizing Indigenous Peoples and Local Communities (IPLCs) and Their Vital Role Read More »

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Beyond numbers: strengthening climate finance through evidence-based impact

As countries discuss a new goal on climate finance at the UN climate conference, COP29, we have an opportunity to boost the impact of every dollar we invest in climate action.  

In climate finance, impact represents the measurable, positive outcomes achieved through climate action—determined by tracking specific metrics like emissions reductions, adaptation results, co-benefits, and the timeliness of fund disbursement. In a recent report on quality climate finance, we argue that we need better evidence to ensure every dollar of finance has better climate impact.  

To measure impact well, we need measurable ways to track contributions to national climate plans (called Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), capture both immediate and long-term transformational change, enable learning for future interventions, and help identify scalable successful approaches.  

The evidence gap  Read More »

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To increase NDC ambition, we need to change how we think about money

As we approach the United Nations climate talks, COP29 in Baku, Azerbaijan, UN agencies have published several reports highlighting both our progress to-date and the gaps in global climate action. The findings are concerning, but unsurprising: countries’ current climate plans, called Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), have a long way to go.  

To keep global temperature rise below 1.5°C, we need to see a 42% reduction in emissions by 2030 compared to 2019 levels – while current NDCs would only lead to 5.9% cut. But there is good news. Countries are currently writing new plans for climate action, to be submitted in 2025. Updated NDCs offer an opportunity to course correct, and turn ambitious targets into real action. 

But new targets alone aren’t a silver bullet. For countries to successfully set and implement aggressive plans, they will need climate finance to back them up. And alongside getting more money to where it is most needed, we also need to ensure that the money is quality: that countries can depend on fair, accessible and impactful finance to help them deliver results.  

In EDF’s new report ‘Quality Matters: Strengthening Climate Finance to Drive Climate Action,’ we have identified key reforms to the international climate finance system which can better enable countries to transform their NDCs into real action and put us back on track to meet the Paris Agreement goals.  

Finance as a Key to Action and Implementation 

According to the UNFCCC’s new NDC Synthesis Report, most Parties to the Paris Agreement say that finance is mission-critical to turning their NDCs into real action. 91% of Parties include specific information on finance in their NDCs, and 69% acknowledge that international climate finance is necessary to meet targets. Moreover, 76% of Parties identify stronger capacity building as key for implementation, which includes support in accessing climate finance. Many NDCs also include targets which are conditional upon receiving international financial support, meaning their goals can’t be met without the money. 

Financial support for climate action is especially important for developing countries, where underlying barriers can make climate action more expensive and challenging. For example, the costs of building a solar project in African countries is two to three times higher than in developed countries, due to high risk and low credit ratings. Additionally, more than half of low-income developing countries are currently facing some degree of debt distress, which can trap them in a vicious cycle of rising interest payments, less money to dedicate to climate action, and persisting vulnerability to climate disasters. 

[source: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2021/06/5-ways-align-debt-climate-development-goals/] 

The cost of climate action in developing countries is estimated to reach $2.4 trillion annually by 2030 – and NDCs have room for improvement in detailing just where that money needs to go. Just 46% of Parties provide quantitative estimates of their financial support needs, and these needs are often expressed simply as “total amounts over the time frame of the NDC.” This lack of specificity can make it a challenge to properly align finance flows – domestic and international – with climate solutions. 

Quality Finance can Enable Ambitious NDCs 

For developing countries to implement their NDCs, they will require significant financial support from donor countries and multilateral institutions. Unfortunately, current international climate finance flows often fall short – finance can be inaccessible, ineffective, or overly burdensome for countries that need it most, inhibiting their ability to meet their climate objectives. 

For example, in recent years only 23% of climate loans from Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs) to developing countries were concessional, meaning they had more favorable terms than market loans. Higher proportions of non-concessional finance can drive up debt burdens and risk of economic instability, reducing the effectiveness of climate finance. Funding also often fails to reach local communities, and there is a lack of evaluation of impact when it does.  

These concerns have dangerous repercussions for the upcoming NDC updates – if countries lack trust that finance will be available or affordable, they may preemptively limit their ambition as they revise plans. Accordingly, climate finance must be high-quality to effectively support NDCs and deliver climate action.  

EDF’s new report presents key metrics of climate finance quality, including concessionality, or the terms of delivery of finance; access, or how easily finance can be secured and utilized; and impact, or how well finance results in measurable, positive outcomes. These quality considerations need to be incorporated into the New Collective Quantified Goal (NCQG) on climate finance at COP29, which will help scale resources for climate action in developing countries.  

Multilateral institutions will also play an important role in improving the effectiveness of finance. They must do more to improve access to resources and mobilize private investment in support of climate objectives to enable successful NDCs. These institutions can also align quality finance directly with the NDC process, by supporting countries with NDC investment planning approaches. Multilateral institutions should help countries to integrate climate objectives directly into national planning and budgeting processes, realign existing financial flows toward climate action, and create clear pipelines of bankable projects that support NDC targets. 

By improving the quality of finance, both through the NCQG at COP29 and structural reform beyond, we can encourage more ambitious NDC updates in 2025 and ensure that countries can successfully implement their plans. 

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North Carolina can still avoid huge amounts of emissions (and stranded carbon emitting assets) under the state’s Carbon Plan Law. Here’s how.

On November 1, the North Carolina Utilities Commission issued an order in the Carbon Plan docket, almost two months ahead of schedule. It largely ratifies an agreement reached by Duke Energy and the state’s Public Staff, who are charged with protecting the state’s ratepayers. While the Commission drops the requirement for Duke Energy to model hitting the 70% carbon emission reduction by 2030 in state law, largely due to a boom in electricity demand, the utility is still required to take “all reasonable steps” to hit the target by the “earliest possible date.” Which begs the question, what is the earliest possible date? A new white paper from EDF comes to the conclusion that North Carolina can still hit the target by 2032, even with the new carbon-emitting resources moving forward under this order.

Read More »

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Growing costs of climate emergency demand ambitious policy — not business as usual

 

Photo: Pexels

Fear, uncertainty and doubt are frequently-used tools to undermine environmental policy. For decades, polluters and their sympathizers rejected the existence of climate change. Now, they say climate action costs too much. This recurring argument ignores the costs working Californians are already facing from a changing climate and the clear benefits of California’s climate policy in order to justify “business as usual” for the biggest polluters.

Californians rightly want to understand fluctuations in day-to-day energy prices, but debates over these issues cannot conveniently ignore the significant costs of climate inaction, its impact on our cost of living and its disproportionate impact on families with low incomes.

  • A national report ranked California the worst state for natural disasters fueled by a changing climate, with expected annual losses totaling more than $16 billion statewide
  • Home insurance is harder and more expensive to get. Seven of California’s largest property insurers, State Farm, Allstate, Farmers, USAA, Travelers, Nationwide and Chubb recently limited new homeowners policies in the Golden State — raising questions about the stability of the California home insurance market.
  • During an 11-year period, exposure to wildfire smoke caused more than 50,000 deaths in California and more than $400 billion in economic impacts.
  • During seven extreme heat events over the past decade, California experienced $7.7 billion in losses.

Read More »

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10 Trends and Opportunities in the 2024 NDC Synthesis Report 

The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) published the NDC Synthesis Report this week. The report assesses the combined impact of nations’ current national climate plans (NDCs) on expected global emissions in 2030, among other measures.

The report concluded that the full implementation of all latest NDCs is estimated to lead to a 5.9 (3.2–8.6) percent emission reduction by 2030 relative to the 2019 level. This falls short of what the planet requires.  

While the emissions gap remains concerning, the latest NDC Synthesis Report reveals important trends and opportunities as countries prepare their next round of climate commitments. These trends point to a growing maturity in climate action planning and implementation, offering pathways to accelerate ambition and action. The synthesis reveals significant momentum in methane abatement, nature-based solutions, agricultural transformation, and ocean protection, though important gaps remain.  

  1. Integrated, Whole-of-Society Climate Action: Countries are increasingly adopting integrated approaches to climate action, with stronger recognition of nature-based solutions and ecosystem-based adaptation. The synthesis shows growing alignment between climate action, biodiversity conservation, and sustainable development objectives. This integration extends to disaster risk reduction and resilience building, suggesting a more comprehensive approach to addressing climate challenges. 
  2. Strengthened Planning and Implementation: The report highlights significant progress in institutional frameworks, with 97% of Parties providing detailed NDC planning processes. Notably, 48% have integrated climate targets into national legislation, while 56% have established specific policy instruments for implementation. The growing institutionalization of climate action – with 88% indicating robust domestic arrangements for coordination and implementation – suggests countries are building stronger foundations for enhanced climate action. 
  3. Indigenous Peoples and Local Communities at the Forefront: A marked shift toward inclusive climate action is evident, with 60% of Parties now acknowledging Indigenous Peoples in their NDCs. Beyond recognition, countries are developing specific support mechanisms, including improved access to finance, capacity building for Indigenous-led climate action, and enhanced market access for Indigenous products. This trend acknowledges both vulnerabilities and the crucial role of traditional knowledge in climate solutions, though opportunities remain for stronger inclusion in decision-making and implementation. 
  4. Market Mechanisms and Article 6 Readiness: Countries demonstrate growing interest in carbon markets and cooperative approaches, with 78% planning to use some form of voluntary cooperation – up from previous years. While 12% make Article 6 use conditional for achieving targets, there’s increasing emphasis on quality criteria, including additionality, permanence, and avoiding double counting. This signals the need for robust frameworks supporting market mechanisms, including clear accounting rules and monitoring systems. 
  5. Methane Action Opportunity for Quick Wins: With 91% of Parties covering methane emissions but only 5% setting specific targets, there’s significant potential for enhanced methane action. Countries identify opportunities across waste management, agriculture, and oil and gas operations. However, implementation gaps in monitoring and measurement need addressing, alongside increased financial and technical support for methane reduction initiatives. 
  6. Feedback loops and impact learning as Strategic Opportunities for Enhancement. While 53% are developing measurement and verification systems, only 3% plan to use feedback for future NDC preparation. This highlights a critical opportunity to strengthen learning and adaptive management in climate action. Enhanced monitoring frameworks could improve effectiveness and support evidence-based policy adjustments. 
  7. Nature-Based Solutions key to climate action: Nearly half of Parties (47%) now include forest protection measures, signaling growing recognition of nature’s role in climate action. The potential is significant – reducing deforestation alone offers 2.28 GtCO2e/year in mitigation potential. While integration of nature-based solutions is increasing, frameworks for wildfire prevention and ecosystem monitoring remain underdeveloped. Enhanced financing mechanisms and stronger coordination between national and local conservation efforts could unlock greater potential in this sector. 
  8. Agricultural Transformation in the horizon. Food security emerges as a critical priority, with 90% of Parties identifying it in adaptation planning, which is consistent with the COP28 Food Declaration. Countries are increasingly adopting sustainable agricultural practices, including crop diversification and improved soil management, often integrating traditional knowledge. However, specific emission targets and monitoring systems for agriculture remain limited. Opportunities exist to strengthen food waste reduction, improve irrigation systems, and develop more resilient food systems through better supply chain integration. 
  9. Ocean Action growing attention: Ocean-related commitments show encouraging growth, with 31% of Parties identifying marine ecosystems as adaptation priorities. Blue carbon initiatives are gaining traction, with 21% of Parties including ocean carbon priorities. While 13% have quantified fisheries targets, gaps persist in marine ecosystem monitoring and financing. Promising opportunities exist in mangrove restoration, marine protected areas expansion, and coastal protection enhancement. 
  10. Adaptation is now integrated into NDCs.  Adaptation has become central to climate action, with 81% of Parties including adaptation components. This reflects a maturing understanding of climate resilience, particularly in key sectors like food security, water resources, and ecosystem management. While 29% of Parties now link adaptation with mitigation co-benefits, implementation gaps remain in financing, monitoring, and cross-sectoral integration. Strengthening these linkages, alongside better alignment with development goals, presents a key opportunity for enhanced climate action. 

The synthesis reveals a maturing climate action landscape with growing emphasis on implementation, inclusion, and integration. While gaps remain, these trends provide a foundation for enhanced ambition and accelerated action in the next round of NDCs. 

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