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	<title>Comments on: The Next Big (Light Bulb) Idea</title>
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	<link>http://blogs.edf.org/climate411/2007/05/16/led_light_bulbs/</link>
	<description>Blogging the science and policy of global warming</description>
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		<title>By: cstirnckwr</title>
		<link>http://blogs.edf.org/climate411/2007/05/16/led_light_bulbs/comment-page-1/#comment-218</link>
		<dc:creator>cstirnckwr</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Dec 2007 03:59:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.edf.org/climate411/2007/05/16/led_light_bulbs/#comment-218</guid>
		<description>A &#039;follow up&#039;:
 Just bought a Chinese produced, LED Spot Light that will directly screw into the ordinary &#039;home&#039; light fitting, &#38; is supposedly able to be &#039;dimmed&#039; -- for ~$16(incl tax.) in NYC.

 A CFL that can be dimmed was $17 -- likely to produce a lot more light, but not last nearly as long, &#38; use substantially more energy.

 The LED is listed as a PAR 20, 36 LED, rated to last 20,000 average hours, &#38; uses 1.8 watt.
 The light emitted is the usual &#039;flourescent blue-white&#039; like light, with the package showing that at:
7ft. it yields an 18ft. &#039;cone&#039; of light, at 10 lux
10ft. yields a 28ft. &#039;cone&#039; of light, at 6 lux.
 I am using it as a desk lamp. At about 2 1/2ft. away from my computer keyboard, it is fairly dim, with the guesstimated equivalence of an ~40Watt incandescent bulb., and a restricted &#039;cone&#039; of illumination.
 While it would be good to get much more light, at present it is sufficient to illuminate my keyboard, easily read printing/notes that are put under it, &#38; not glare off of the computer screen.

 The 7 LED flashlight that I keep in my car is immensely valuable in reading roadmaps at night -- much better than the usual small flashlight.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A &#039;follow up&#039;:<br />
 Just bought a Chinese produced, LED Spot Light that will directly screw into the ordinary &#039;home&#039; light fitting, &#38;#38; is supposedly able to be &#039;dimmed&#039; &#8212; for ~$16(incl tax.) in NYC.</p>
<p> A CFL that can be dimmed was $17 &#8212; likely to produce a lot more light, but not last nearly as long, &#38;#38; use substantially more energy.</p>
<p> The LED is listed as a PAR 20, 36 LED, rated to last 20,000 average hours, &#38;#38; uses 1.8 watt.<br />
 The light emitted is the usual &#039;flourescent blue-white&#039; like light, with the package showing that at:<br />
7ft. it yields an 18ft. &#039;cone&#039; of light, at 10 lux<br />
10ft. yields a 28ft. &#039;cone&#039; of light, at 6 lux.<br />
 I am using it as a desk lamp. At about 2 1/2ft. away from my computer keyboard, it is fairly dim, with the guesstimated equivalence of an ~40Watt incandescent bulb., and a restricted &#039;cone&#039; of illumination.<br />
 While it would be good to get much more light, at present it is sufficient to illuminate my keyboard, easily read printing/notes that are put under it, &#38;#38; not glare off of the computer screen.</p>
<p> The 7 LED flashlight that I keep in my car is immensely valuable in reading roadmaps at night &#8212; much better than the usual small flashlight.</p>
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		<title>By: cstirnckwr</title>
		<link>http://blogs.edf.org/climate411/2007/05/16/led_light_bulbs/comment-page-1/#comment-217</link>
		<dc:creator>cstirnckwr</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Dec 2007 08:33:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.edf.org/climate411/2007/05/16/led_light_bulbs/#comment-217</guid>
		<description>Dear Erica,
 You noted that:
&quot;Obviously, prices need to come down, and for that reason, mass-market LED light bulbs are still 5 to 10 years away. And because their light is so directional, it remains to be seen whether they&#039;ll be able light up a room like incandescent bulbs and CFLs.&quot;

1) At current, the CFLs are much cheaper than they used to be, &#38; at the same time, while they are touted to last for 5-7years, they frequently fail within a year -- which necesitates the saving of a lot of receipts -- assuming that they will be honored.
 That is -- the price of the CFLs has markedly decreased, at the same time as a &#039;built in obsolescence&#039; has been incorporated into them -- what a surprise!(I actually have an old CFL bulb that has been going for well over 10 years -- while none of the &#039;new&#039; ones have approached it)

2) So, with the ability to give enough light that they can be used in car headlights, I don&#039;t think that the bottleneck for LEDs is in their difficulty in providing light -- I tend to think that it rather lies in their working much too well!!!
 ie. at 50-&gt;100,000 hours per bulb, with a lot less use of electricity, I don&#039;t think that there is a real rush to get a conventional &#039;home&#039; bulb to the market -- &#38; it will likely be forced only by some co. that can make one outside the patent etc. restrictions.

3) For example, lets consider whether a LED &#039;spot&#039; bulb would be so restrictive in not giving off &#039;general light&#039;, that it couldn&#039;t be used.  Most of my bulbs are ones that I want to focus on work that I am doing, &#38; not interfere with peripheral areas(eg. a computer screen) -- so for a lot, that shouldn&#039;t be a problem.
 Furthermore, if a more diffuse light was needed, at least one cheap possibility would be to put a diffuser in front of it.

4) If CFLs now have transformers built into their bases, it shouldn&#039;t be too hard to ditto rectifiers to convert AC to DC for the LED lights(if that is finally necessary) -- &#38; I would think that &#039;solid state&#039; ones should already be &#039;off the shelf&#039; -- so making the transition to a &#039;home&#039; bulb shouldn&#039;t be much of a problem.
 That is, I doubt that all of the electricity that is currently powering LED NYC traffic lights, NYC Christmas bulbs(on trees &#38; bridges)etc. is DC -- Westinghouse won out over Edison in the &#039;transmission&#039; fray a long time ago.

5) While LED are indeed expensive, I actually don&#039;t really know why.  I don&#039;t know their means of fabrication, but my notion is that they can be &#039;printed&#039; so that their &#039;masking&#039; &#38; &#039;interference&#039; &#039;holes&#039; that coerce the photons into certain radiant/visible frequencies shouldn&#039;t be anywhere near as complicated as the &#039;masking&#039; etc. printing that goes into computer boards.
 So while finding out the ways to get a &#039;complete spectrum&#039; might be difficult, the implementation of what is already at hand should be again, almost &#039;off the shelf&#039;(except for patent or other voluntary restrictions).

6) So as for the general assessment that it will likely take another &#039;5-&gt;10 years&#039; to do any of this, has got to be only things being deliberately put &#039;on the slow track&#039;.
 In &#039;5-10 years, we&#039;re likely to have a completed space station, &#38; operational somatic derived &#039;stem cells&#039; -- &#38; this is not anywhere near as complex.

7) I guess what I&#039;m suggesting to ED, is that maybe this &#039;5-10 years&#039; scenario really shouldn&#039;t be accepted, &#38; that with a little directed effort, LEDs for the home, at a more or less reasonable cost, for at least some significant &#039;niches&#039; of use, should almost be available tomorrow.
 &#38; this would be a HUGE saving for the environment, in all respects!

 Sincerely -- joel schiff -- cstirnckwr</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dear Erica,<br />
 You noted that:<br />
&#034;Obviously, prices need to come down, and for that reason, mass-market LED light bulbs are still 5 to 10 years away. And because their light is so directional, it remains to be seen whether they&#039;ll be able light up a room like incandescent bulbs and CFLs.&#034;</p>
<p>1) At current, the CFLs are much cheaper than they used to be, &#38;#38; at the same time, while they are touted to last for 5-7years, they frequently fail within a year &#8212; which necesitates the saving of a lot of receipts &#8212; assuming that they will be honored.<br />
 That is &#8212; the price of the CFLs has markedly decreased, at the same time as a &#039;built in obsolescence&#039; has been incorporated into them &#8212; what a surprise!(I actually have an old CFL bulb that has been going for well over 10 years &#8212; while none of the &#039;new&#039; ones have approached it)</p>
<p>2) So, with the ability to give enough light that they can be used in car headlights, I don&#039;t think that the bottleneck for LEDs is in their difficulty in providing light &#8212; I tend to think that it rather lies in their working much too well!!!<br />
 ie. at 50-&#38;gt;100,000 hours per bulb, with a lot less use of electricity, I don&#039;t think that there is a real rush to get a conventional &#039;home&#039; bulb to the market &#8212; &#38;#38; it will likely be forced only by some co. that can make one outside the patent etc. restrictions.</p>
<p>3) For example, lets consider whether a LED &#039;spot&#039; bulb would be so restrictive in not giving off &#039;general light&#039;, that it couldn&#039;t be used.  Most of my bulbs are ones that I want to focus on work that I am doing, &#38;#38; not interfere with peripheral areas(eg. a computer screen) &#8212; so for a lot, that shouldn&#039;t be a problem.<br />
 Furthermore, if a more diffuse light was needed, at least one cheap possibility would be to put a diffuser in front of it.</p>
<p>4) If CFLs now have transformers built into their bases, it shouldn&#039;t be too hard to ditto rectifiers to convert AC to DC for the LED lights(if that is finally necessary) &#8212; &#38;#38; I would think that &#039;solid state&#039; ones should already be &#039;off the shelf&#039; &#8212; so making the transition to a &#039;home&#039; bulb shouldn&#039;t be much of a problem.<br />
 That is, I doubt that all of the electricity that is currently powering LED NYC traffic lights, NYC Christmas bulbs(on trees &#38;#38; bridges)etc. is DC &#8212; Westinghouse won out over Edison in the &#039;transmission&#039; fray a long time ago.</p>
<p>5) While LED are indeed expensive, I actually don&#039;t really know why.  I don&#039;t know their means of fabrication, but my notion is that they can be &#039;printed&#039; so that their &#039;masking&#039; &#38;#38; &#039;interference&#039; &#039;holes&#039; that coerce the photons into certain radiant/visible frequencies shouldn&#039;t be anywhere near as complicated as the &#039;masking&#039; etc. printing that goes into computer boards.<br />
 So while finding out the ways to get a &#039;complete spectrum&#039; might be difficult, the implementation of what is already at hand should be again, almost &#039;off the shelf&#039;(except for patent or other voluntary restrictions).</p>
<p>6) So as for the general assessment that it will likely take another &#039;5-&#38;gt;10 years&#039; to do any of this, has got to be only things being deliberately put &#039;on the slow track&#039;.<br />
 In &#039;5-10 years, we&#039;re likely to have a completed space station, &#38;#38; operational somatic derived &#039;stem cells&#039; &#8212; &#38;#38; this is not anywhere near as complex.</p>
<p>7) I guess what I&#039;m suggesting to ED, is that maybe this &#039;5-10 years&#039; scenario really shouldn&#039;t be accepted, &#38;#38; that with a little directed effort, LEDs for the home, at a more or less reasonable cost, for at least some significant &#039;niches&#039; of use, should almost be available tomorrow.<br />
 &#38;#38; this would be a HUGE saving for the environment, in all respects!</p>
<p> Sincerely &#8212; joel schiff &#8212; cstirnckwr</p>
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